
                                        Ethanol: Energy Panacea or False Promise?
                                      By 
                                        Charles 
                                        Q. Choi 
                                        Special to LiveScience
                                        
                                        Now that experts know how to convert prairie 
                                        grass and leftover lumber into ethanol, 
                                        six biorefineries scheduled for completion 
                                        within five years could help the United 
                                        States produce 130 million additional 
                                        gallons of the fuel per year.
                                      Ethanol, 
                                        more commonly known as drinking alcohol, 
                                        is touted by some as a viable alternative 
                                        fuel for vehicles. Although 
                                        its energy content is roughly two-thirds 
                                        that of gasoline by volume, ethanol is 
                                        increasingly flowing into gas tanks, with 
                                        some one out of every eight gallons of 
                                        gas sold in the United States containing 
                                        8 to 10 percent ethanol.
                                        Yet there is heated debate among scientists 
                                        as to whether or not ethanol really is 
                                        good for the environment. 
                                      Studies 
                                        hint, for instance, that ethanol might 
                                        guzzle more energy during its manufacture 
                                        than it provides, and that it might strain 
                                        valuable water 
                                        resources. Recent findings 
                                        also suggest fuels high in ethanol may 
                                        pose an equal or greater risk to public 
                                        health than regular gasoline.
                                      Corn 
                                        ethanol and E85
                                        Unlike gasoline, ethanol is made renewably, 
                                        from plants, which naturally soak up the 
                                        greenhouse 
                                        gas carbon dioxide. Ethanol 
                                        production and consumption might therefore 
                                        release less carbon dioxide into the atmosphere 
                                        than gasoline use does.
                                      In 
                                        the United States, ethanol is most often 
                                        made from corn. Some 13 percent of the 
                                        U.S. corn crop was devoted to making ethanol 
                                        in 2004. "There are certainly benefits 
                                        with ethanol if you're a farmer in terms 
                                        of subsidies," said Stanford atmospheric 
                                        scientist Mark Jacobson.
                                      E85, 
                                        a fuel blend of 85 percent ethanol and 
                                        15 percent gasoline, could power millions 
                                        of flexible-fuel 
                                        vehicles already on the roads and is available 
                                        at more than 1,000 service stations.
                                      However, 
                                        the U.S. supply of ethanol is small when 
                                        compared with gasoline. The United States 
                                        currently uses roughly 140 billion gallons 
                                        of gasoline a year, more than any other 
                                        country. In contrast, the country produced 
                                        roughly 4 billion gallons of ethanol in 
                                        2004. Most stations carrying E85 are in 
                                        the Midwest, and the fuel is rare and 
                                        expensive in the rest of country.
                                      Although 
                                        the six biorefineries scheduled for completion 
                                        by 2011 won't by themselves add great 
                                        volumes to existing U.S. ethanol production, 
                                        they are part of a strategy to demonstrate 
                                        that ethanol can be generated more cost-effectively 
                                        from the hundreds of millions of tons 
                                        of cellulose in plant scrap that would 
                                        otherwise go to waste.
                                      "Those 
                                        could show that you can really bring the 
                                        cost of ethanol down," chemical engineer 
                                        Bruce Dale at Michigan State University 
                                        told LiveScience. "I believe we'll 
                                        demonstrate in less than five years that 
                                        we can make ethanol from cellulose for 
                                        in the neighborhood of $1.20 a gallon. 
                                        Given that gas is now about $3 a gallon 
                                        lots of places, I think people will fall 
                                        all over themselves trying to put together 
                                        supply chains to make cellulosic ethanol."
                                      Energy 
                                        for making it
                                        Critical points of contention over ethanol 
                                        regard whether or not creating it requires 
                                        more energy than consuming it gives off. 
                                        Although a great deal of energy that goes 
                                        into ethanol comes from the sun, much 
                                        human effort is also required when it 
                                        comes to processing raw plant material 
                                        to make ethanol. And there are the efforts 
                                        that go along with farming and pesticide 
                                        and fertilizer use.
                                      Research 
                                        from applied economist Jason Hill at the 
                                        University of Minnesota and his colleagues 
                                        found you do get more energy from ethanol 
                                        than you put in it, some 25 percent more. 
                                        "So there is the benefit of energy 
                                        gain there," Hill said in a telephone 
                                        interview.
                                      However, 
                                        research by chemical engineer Tad Patzek 
                                        at the University of California, Berkeley 
                                        and others finds you get less energy from 
                                        ethanol than you put in it, returning 
                                        just 26 percent of the energy invested 
                                        into making the fuel.
                                      "Ethanol 
                                        has this false promise of satisfying our 
                                        transportation fuel needs," Patzek 
                                        said.
                                        Also, ethanol may not cut down on carbon 
                                        dioxide emissions as much as hoped. Energy 
                                        expert Alexander Farrell at the University 
                                        of California, Berkeley and his colleagues 
                                        found that replacing gasoline with corn 
                                        ethanol would reduce a car's total greenhouse 
                                        gas emissions by only about 13 percent, 
                                        since creating ethanol in itself produces 
                                        a lot of pollution.
                                      Dale 
                                        contended that cellulosic ethanol could 
                                        even cut total greenhouse gas emissions 
                                        by 90 percent. However, Patzek suggested 
                                        ethanol manufacture and consumption could 
                                        release more greenhouse gases into the 
                                        air than gasoline usage does.
                                      "A 
                                        problem I see is the 'nirvana fuel syndrome,' 
                                        where there's some fuel with no problems," 
                                        Dale said. "I would say instead, 
                                        'What problems does this fuel have compared 
                                        with others?' I would say that ethanol 
                                        as a replacement for gasoline is in almost 
                                        every measurement far superior to gasoline, 
                                        in terms of climate effects and getting 
                                        away from the screw 
                                        situation you have geopolitically 
                                        with oil."
                                      Patzek 
                                        remained unconvinced. "Not only can 
                                        ethanol not supply all of the nation's 
                                        fuel demand, it can't even supply a small 
                                        fraction of it," he said. "That's 
                                        the bottom line." 
                                      * 
                                        Surprise: 
                                        Ethanol 
                                        as Deadly as Gasoline For Now 
                                        
                                        
                                        * Top 
                                        10 Emerging Environmental Technologies 
                                        
                                        
                                        * Oil 
                                        Production Could Peak Next Year